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Check All Online Blackjack Pages Here Although there is no guarantee that every game of blackjack that you play is going to be fruitful, there are some systems and wagering methods that the majority of. Blackjack - Betting Systems What is the value of the blackjack system called 'Mastering the Flow?' It's marketed via an infomercial, and the website is www.changetheodds.com. It claims not to be a.

I had a look at the web site and also found what little he says about the theory behind his system makes it sound like card counting. However I'm deeply skeptical of anything that claims to 'blow old fashioned card counting away.' I think we can file this under 'If it sounds too good to be true is probably is.'
Update: The web site in question vanished sometime after the publication of this question.

I don't put a lot of emphasis on betting systems. In the long run you will lose the same percentage of money bet no matter what system you use. So my advice is use a system that maximizes the fun of the game.

The simple answer is no, it neither helps you nor hurts you. However, you will have less bankroll variance by betting two hands of x as opposed to one of 2x. Card counters are an exception to the simple no, they may play multiple hands to draw more cards out of a deck rich in good cards, thus improving their odds.

Thank for the compliment and I'm happy to help your bankroll last longer. When I gamble for fun I keep playing until it isn't fun any longer. Usually the fun ends when I have lost too much or have played too long. With the ups and downs of blackjack it takes hundreds of hours before regression toward the mean will cause actual results to look like expected results. Furthermore, the player who puts a conservative cap on their winnings is never going to experience the fun of a long hot winning streak. Keep in mind this is just what works for me. You should do what you are comfortable with. Everything I have to say about money management can be summarized by the following two rules (1) don't gamble with money you can't afford to lose, and (2) don't gamble if it isn't fun.
Regarding your second question, there is something to be said about the composition of a hand. The fewer the decks the more this is true. My blackjack appendix 3A and appendix 3B show the exceptions to single- and double-deck blackjack, based on the composition of the hand. These appendices show that the more cards that are in your hand the more inclined you should be to stand. Regarding your 15 against a 10 example, there are two situations in single deck blackjack where you should stand when the 15 is composed of 5 cards, A+A+A+6+6 and A+A+3+5+5. Note that in both of these situations either two fives or two sixes have left the deck which are the two most helpful cards for the player. The two situations where you should be the most inclined to stand if you have a multiple card hand are 16 against a 10 and a 12 against a 3.

I have said numerous times that there is no long-term way to beat a game with a house edge. If there were a true 50/50 game with no house edge it would be impossible to guarantee beating or losing to it under real world conditions. The results always approach the house edge in the long-term. It is not just computer simulations that back this up but the fundamental laws of probability.
About video blackjack, that may be the way of the future. I have seen fully electronic tables with video display at the World Gaming Expo. I have also seen tables that with cameras can track every bet and every play each player makes. This enables the house to accurately comp players and alert them to card counters. These tables look and feel like any other blackjack table, so you card counters may be out of business if these tables are successful.

I’m not familiar with it. Ken Fuchs co-wrote Knock-Out Blackjack so he can’t be all bad. However I just hear the word progression and I’m immediately skeptical.

Progressive betting systems, like yours, will turn a good session into a great one without the risk of catastrophic loss as with regressive systems like the Martingale. However progressive systems will turn a choppy neutral session into a bad one. Consider what would happen if you alternated between a win and a loss the entire session. The wins would all be at $15 and the losses at $30. Funny you should mention the ’Weakest Link.’ I tried out for that show during the summer and didn’t make it. It is probably just as well because I’m not that witty in real life and doubt I could come up with a good rejoinder to one of Ann’s jabs.

The name for this system is the Martingale. Ignoring ties the probability of a new loss for a hand of blackjack is 52.51%. So the probability of losing 8 in a row is .5251⁸ = 1 in 173.

If you can’t double or split that adds 1.9% to whatever the house edge is otherwise. This just goes to show that you should always have double or split money available if you need it.

That column seemed to put the mathematics to that 'feeling' a player can get. In that columns’ example of a player losing 8 consecutive hands of blackjack the odds were (.5251^8 or about 1 in 173). My question though is what does that really mean? Is it that when I sit down at the table, 1 out of my next 173 playing sessions I can expect to have an 8 hand losing streak? Or does it mean that on any given loss it is a 1 in 173 chance that it was the first of 8 losses coming my way?

I know, I know, its some sort of divine intervention betting system I am talking about and no betting system affects the house edge. I’m still curious though. Besides every once in awhile throwing down a bigger bet just adds to the excitement and for some reason it seems logical that if you have lost a string of hands you are 'due' for a win.

I have no problem with increasing your bet when you get a lucky feeling. What is important is that you play your cards right. Unless you are counting cards you have the free will to bet as much as you want. As I always say all betting systems are equally worthless so flying by the seat of your pants is just as good as flat betting over the long term. When I said the probability of losing 8 hands in a row is 1 in 173 I meant that starting with the next hand the probability of losing 8 in a row is 1 in 173. The chances of 8 losses in a row over a session are greater the longer the session. I hope this answers your question.

Thanks for the kind words. I appreciate the thought of visiting the advertisers. However the casinos don’t care about click throughs as much as they used to and now what matters is new real money players, and how profitable those players are. So unless you might actually play there is no pressure any longer to click through the banners.

Blackjack tournaments are not my strong subject. For advice on that I would highly recommend Casino Tournament Strategy by Stanford Wong. Wong says that if you are behind to bet opposite of the leader, small when he bets big, and big when he bets small. If you are in the lead then you should bet with the second highest player. The book gets into much more detail. Speaking of supporting my site, it helps to click through my Amazon links when buying books there.

Your expected loss of this play is 0.005*20*$1000=$100. The betting system will not affect the expected loss, but will affect the volatility.

Without knowing anything else, if you lost the last hand in blackjack then it is slightly more likely that more small cards than large just left the deck. This would make the remaining deck more large card rich and thus lower the house edge. However I speculate this is an extremely small effect. Yet it does go to show that if you must use a betting system one that increases the bet after a loss is better than one that increases after a win. I hesitate to put this in writing at all because again the effect is probably very small and I fear system sellers will misquote me and imply I endorse any system, which I DO NOT.

You didn’t say how many rounds there were. However, I would bet $10 in all five hands every hand, or go bust trying. With 1,000 players and a relatively low max bet you’ll need all the variance you can get.

I’ve been wondering this myself for years. In 2004 somebody accepted my betting system challenge, claiming he could beat blackjack without counting. The details are in my page on the Daniel Rainsong challenge. After I posted it, I received a message from a blackjack genius, who goes by the handle 'Cacarulo.' He challenged me under the same conditions and blackjack rules set forth in the Rainsong challenge.

Knowing how knowledgeable he is about blackjack, I felt that he was probably right, so I declined the challenge. I asked anyway how he would have gone about his strategy, but he wouldn’t tell me. I tend to think that he would have bet the minimum most of the time, except if it was late in the shoe, and the ratio of losses to wins was very high since the last shuffle, he would have bet the maximum. The reason is that losing is positively correlated to small cards being played, and winning to large cards. In other words, a benefit of losing is that it tends to make the count better. However, this is a weak correlation. My challenge allowed the player a bet range of 1 to 1,000, which is probably enough to overcome the house edge, but it will be hard to find a real casino okay with a jump in bet size by a factor of 1,000.

The short answer to your question is, no, tracking wins and losses will not help enough to warrant the bother of doing it.

The KO System is one of the easiest card counting strategies to learn and use. It’s a recommended strategy for beginners because all you have to do is assign a +1, -1 or 0 to each card that is dealt. That’s much easier than using a system like the Zen or Uston Advanced Count, where you’re assigning 3+ values, as well as keeping running, true and side counts.

However, players were (and still are) having a problem with calculating the true count. Not everyone is good at division, especially with fractions, let alone having to figure the math out while playing.

Seeing this, Ken Fuchs and Olaf Vancura developed the Knock-Out System in 1998. The KO strategy is similar to the Hi/Lo in that you assign a +1, -1 or 0, but different in that you only have to keep track of the running count. You don’t have to figure out the true count, so there’s no need for complicated math.

The KO System assigns the value of +1, 0 or -1 to each card that is dealt. Here are the cards and the values you will assign to each one:

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• 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 – Count +1
• 8, 9 – Count 0
• 10, J, Q, K, A – Count -1

For you Hi/Lo System users, the difference between the Hi/Lo and the Knockout is that the 7 is assigned a +1, whereas it’s a 0 in the Hi/Lo. Because of this the Knockout System is unbalanced. If you count through a deck of cards your final count will be a +4.

Since there’s no true count you’ll use the running count to determine how much to bet. The rule of thumb is that the higher the count, the more you should bet, and vice versa. That said, it’s recommended that you use a spread betting system. As your count increases/decreases, so will the number of units you bet. Here’s an example to show you what I mean:

Running Count / 2 Decks / 6-8 Decks

• 0 or less / 1 unit / 1 unit
• +1 / 2 units / 2 units
• +2 / 3 units / 4 units
• +3 / 4 units / 8 units
• +4 / 5 units / 10 units
• +5 / 6 units / 12 units

A unit refers (in this case) to the minimum table limit. If the minimum table wager is $5, that would be one unit. So if your running count is a +4 then you’d bet $25 at a 2-deck game or $50 in a 6-8 deck game.

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A spread betting system is a good idea because it maximizes and minimizes how much you win and lose depending on how likely you are to win or lose. It disguises you as a card counter, too. Instead of betting at one extreme or the other (table minimum or table maximum), your betting is gradual. It’ll be harder for casino staff to tag you as an advantage player.

How Hard is the KO System to Learn?

If you already know how to use the Hi/Lo system then the KO should be no problem. You’re merely adding a +1 to the 7-card, and eliminating the true count.

However, if you’ve never counted cards before, the KO System is the easiest one to learn. The quickest way to pick it up is to practice with a deck of cards. Go through each one and assign it a value, all the while keeping track of your total (running count).

For example, say the following cards were dealt:

2, K, 4, 5, J, A, A, 3, 8, 9, 6, 5

As each card comes out you assign it a value:

(2) +1, (K) -1, (4) +1, (5) +1, (J) -1, (A) -1, (A) -1, (3) +1, (8) 0, (9) 0, (6) +1, (5) +1

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Adding all of these up we get a count of +2.

But you want to make sure that you keep a total as you go. You won’t have the time to wait for all the cards to be dealt to figure out your count. Especially if you have poor table position (the closer you are to the dealer’s left, the worse your position).

So as you see each card you’ll want to keep a (running) total. Using the same example as above (card = running count):

• 2 = +1
• K = 0
• 4 = +1
• 5 = +2
• J = +1
• A = 0
• A = -1
• 3 = 0
• 8 = +0
• 9 = +0
• 6 = +1
• 5 = +2

Each time you go through a deck of cards you should try to do it faster than you did before, while staying accurate (+4 count when you’re done). Experts also recommend playing background noise so that you can practice with distractions. You could also go to the casino, stand behind a blackjack table and try to keep count. This will show you what it’s like to count cards in an distraction filled, action paced environment.

What we’ve covered above is a primer to the Knock-Out System. It would still be a good idea to read more about it, especially if this is the system you’re going to master.

We recommend going straight to the source: Knock-Out Blackjack by Olaf Vancura and Ken Fuchs. You can pick it up at Amazon for less than $7 on your Kindle, or for $15 for the paperback. This book will cover basic blackjack strategy, an intro to card counting and finally it’ll walk you through the KO System and betting strategies.

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This books come highly recommended, even from blackjack greats like Edward Thorp:

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“K-O is a simple and powerful card-counting system that deserves serious consideration, clearly and entertainingly presented.”

–Edward O. Thorp, Ph.D., Author of Beat the Dealer